Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MSTR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 202.973528 241.807130 288.307289 348.764547 426.289931 523.758417 6.578358e+02
2025-09-28 153.560957 198.571252 258.638281 346.882030 477.188869 669.394750 9.885418e+02
2025-10-05 134.011931 184.340466 257.361825 375.760726 572.892990 908.817365 1.578960e+03
2025-10-12 119.572257 172.571617 254.730582 399.194317 665.825825 1183.653059 2.419061e+03
2025-10-19 107.747735 161.684779 249.982768 416.306980 752.486579 1489.459591 3.590274e+03
2025-10-26 97.473470 151.058306 242.880532 426.394425 828.532601 1815.268768 5.175289e+03
2025-11-02 88.224279 140.436351 233.408195 428.918967 889.103741 2142.031784 7.229220e+03
2025-11-09 79.168248 128.713992 219.678403 419.033250 917.046293 2400.476527 9.486511e+03
2025-11-16 71.588927 118.564722 207.168686 408.668613 940.239849 2664.303517 1.236843e+04
2025-11-23 65.089436 109.557988 195.448027 397.334333 957.032921 2923.557818 1.597150e+04
2025-11-30 63.558856 109.668398 202.058406 430.801680 1117.815848 3879.078607 2.867094e+04
2025-12-07 59.769035 104.904358 197.676284 435.950394 1194.387356 4570.337351 4.371059e+04
2025-12-14 56.810629 101.616560 196.370468 450.082553 1314.068003 5667.149060 7.712618e+04
2025-12-21 52.979288 96.125576 189.363915 447.160892 1373.087358 6539.613247 1.238963e+05
2025-12-28 52.158712 96.782717 196.573300 487.122215 1626.831176 9226.358669 3.495577e+05
2026-01-04 50.851090 96.224649 200.804207 519.793624 1877.916902 12689.832783 1.187608e+06
2026-01-11 49.144926 94.580558 202.088501 543.773261 2111.267780 16939.407007 5.472937e+06
2026-01-18 47.114504 91.975280 200.518248 557.953768 2309.908803 21815.989966 4.542415e+07
2026-01-25 44.818941 88.520248 196.216677 561.507755 2455.971962 26897.030617 2.025237e+09
2026-02-01 42.062705 83.733054 187.710635 547.602120 2489.036867 30386.311171 NaN
2026-02-08 39.532263 79.260033 179.520618 533.056459 2511.450917 34067.922712 NaN
2026-02-15 37.180448 75.014734 171.456719 517.190034 2516.884562 37682.133447 NaN
2026-02-22 37.073995 76.150912 178.656168 564.159543 3024.052901 62162.868284 NaN